Africa and Middle East – Simpler

19 August 2004

Population Changes That Will Dominate European Politics
for the Rest of This Century (Simpler)

These are the rough figures for Africa, together with the Islamic countries from Saudi Arabia to Pakistan, excluding Turkey, and for Europe including Russia, but excluding Turkey.

All Africa and
Saudi Arabia to Pakistan
Europe and Russia
1950 300 million 546 million
1975 600 million 674 million
2000 1,200 million 729 million
2050 2,400 million 658 million
Poverty. Prosperity.

After 2050, the population of Europe (bar immigration) will probably be going down.
After 2050, the population of Africa and the Islamic countries (bar a cataclysm) will be going up fast.

AFRICA AND THESE ISLAMIC COUNTRIES ARE IN THE GRIP OF A HUGE POPULATION EXPLOSION, WHICH HAS CAUSED AND IS CAUSING AND WILL CAUSE GREAT POVERTY.

Population statistics are approximations of figures given by US Bureau of the Census.

The Bureau’s estimation of the population of the countries from Saudi Arabia to Pakistan is:
83 million in 1950, 328 million in 2000, and 722 million in 2050

The Bureau’s estimation of the population of Africa is:
227 million in 1950, 804 million in 2000, and 1,792 million in 2050

The Bureau’s estimation of the population of Africa plus Saudi Arabia to Pakistan is:
310 million in 1950, 1,132 million in 2000, and 2,514 million in 2050

Any comment on these figures, and especially any correction, will be gratefully received.