19 August 2004
Population Changes That Will Dominate European Politics for the Rest of This Century (Simple)

These are the rough figures for Africa, for the Islamic countries from Saudi Arabia to Pakistan, excluding Turkey, and for Europe, excluding Turkey.

 
All Africa
Saudi Arabia to Pakistan
All Africa and Saudi Arabia to Pakistan
Europe and Russia
1950    200 million   80 million    300 million 546 million
1975    400 million 160 million    600 million 674 million
2000    800 million 320 million 1,200 million 729 million
2050 1,600 million 640 million 2,400 million 658 million

After 2050, the population of Europe (bar immigration) will probably be going down.
After 2050, the population of the Islamic countries and Africa (bar a cataclysm) will be going up fast

THESE ISLAMIC COUNTRIES AND AFRICA ARE IN THE GRIP OF A HUGE POPULATION EXPLOSION, WHICH HAS CAUSED AND IS CAUSING AND WILL CAUSE GREAT POVERTY

Population statistics are approximations of figures given by US Bureau of the Census.

The Bureau's estimation of the population of the countries from Saudi Arabia to Pakistan is:

83 million in 1950, 328 million in 2000, and 722 million in 2050

The Bureau's estimation of the population of Africa is:

227 million in 1950, 804 million in 2000, and 1,792 million in 2050

The Bureau's estimation of the population of Africa plus Saudi Arabia to Pakistan is:

310 million in 1950, 1,132 million in 2000, and 2,514 million in 2050

Any comment on these figures, and especially any correction, will be gratefully received by Gerry Danaher at


Download a printer-friendly version of this article

I'd be happy to hear any questions or comments regarding this site. Please email me at